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Prediction for CME (2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-19T00:27Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7413/-1
CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T00:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

:Issued: 2014 Dec 19 1229 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
An M6.9 flare was released by NOAA AR 2241 and peaked at 21:58 UT on December 18. An associated Type II radio burst was observed by the Palehua station on Hawaii, with an estimated shock speed of 664 km/s. LASCO C3 shows images of a probably associated halo CME after a data gap, first observed at 00:27 UT on December 19. Based on the estimated Type II shock speed, it is estimated that this CME will arrive at Earth around 0h UT on December 22.
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

Lead Time: 53.88 hour(s)
Difference: -5.63 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-12-19T12:29Z

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